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July 21, 2025

In the News

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WEEKLY COMMODITY HIGHLIGHTS

Nearby
Futures
Weekly
Change
Friday's
Close
Year
Ago
Corn+0.12504.08503.9050
Soybeans+0.235010.277510.9725
Wheat+0.01255.46255.4275
Cattle+1.3500223.550183.10
Hogs-0.2500106.47591.575
Cotton+0.9267.1269.98
Milk+0.0817.4519.85
Crude Oil-1.1167.3480.13
Grain and oilseed futures were mostly higher on the week, with gains driven by short-covering, bullishness about renewable diesel demand, and uncertainty about hot weather and the potential impact on the soybean crop. The markets climbed despite a Midwest weather outlook that has remained mostly favorable, with historically high crop condition ratings for corn in particular. That is sending yield estimates higher, but at this point traders may have largely priced in a large corn crop. The soybean crop could still be vulnerable to the hot weather that mostly persists in the Midwest. There's no sign yet of any significant drought issue, however. Winter wheat prices were firm as harvest pressure starts to abate, while spring wheat prices were pressured by a big jump in crop condition ratings. Improved crop conditions for cotton, particularly in Texas, hang over that market, while rice futures made new contract lows. The trade situation remains a wildcard hanging over the grain and oilseeds complex, with limited progress on any trade deals as the August deadline approaches for other countries to avoid a significant tariff hike by the U.S.

In the livestock complex, live cattle and feeder cattle futures markets remained extremely volatile. However, the bull market in live cattle futures clearly remained alive and well with futures surging to new contract highs again on support from their discounts to Plains cash markets. Futures held firm despite further seasonal weakness in wholesale beef prices and a sharp deterioration in packer operating margins. Feeder cattle futures spent the week consolidating, with prices continuing to find strong support from tightening U.S. supplies and the suspension of cattle imports from Mexico. Lean hog futures came under further pressure from speculative long liquidation early in the week, but rallied after that as wholesale pork prices strengthened, and cash hog markets stabilized.

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