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Source: Planalytics news release

Earlier this week the USDA published its Crop Progress Report for the week. According to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), as of April 27th, 19 percent of the country's major corn producing areas had been planted. This is almost four times the number of acres planted this time last year, but still lags behind the average for this time of year, which is 28 percent.

A high pressure system building over the Northwest U.S. and Canada began bringing drier weather to much of the primary corn belt states on the 1st of May. This dryness will prevail through next Tuesday morning. The exception will be light to moderate rain that develops over the coming weekend across the Dakotas, Minnesota and the Great Lakes region. Amounts should range in the one-quarter to one inch range for the event.

Temperatures will start out on the cool side of normal to start May, but will be warming toward normal over the first weekend of May, especially in the Plains and western Midwest. Mean high temperatures through May 6th are indicated by the dotted red lines.

So we expect planters will be able to go full out through next Tuesday for the vast majority of the Corn Belt (south of the northern tier).

Warmer Temperatures... but Wetness Returns

By the middle of next week, temperatures are expected to increase over much of the center of the U.S. However, a new storm will be developing over the central-southern Plains that will generate another round of severe weather from the eastern Plains across the Midwest and Deep South.

Last week's slow moving weather maker produced over 140 Tornado reports, 410+ high wind gust reports, and 260+ large hail reports. This newest storm complex should be treated with the same respect...capable of producing a significant number of severe weather reports!

Contributing to the volatility of the weather will be high temperatures that climb into the 85 to 95F range in the Plains. Warmth will push both north and east ahead of this complex.

Mean high temperatures for the period are shown on the map to the right. These "emergence friendly" temperatures and the new rain event will go a long way supporting the saying that "rain makes grain"...unless your wheat is in the heading stage in Kansas where temperatures are expected to reach the 90s but without the benefit of rain.. Temperatures are expected to warm across the northern tier Corn Belt states as well, but the wetness remains a deterrence to planting.

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